Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 4.784561e-05 0.000056 0.000064 0.000074 0.000085 0.000096 0.000110
2025-01-05 3.666537e-05 0.000047 0.000059 0.000073 0.000089 0.000108 0.000130
2025-01-12 2.855156e-05 0.000040 0.000053 0.000070 0.000091 0.000115 0.000145
2025-01-19 2.226673e-05 0.000034 0.000048 0.000067 0.000091 0.000120 0.000156
2025-01-26 1.794884e-05 0.000029 0.000044 0.000065 0.000092 0.000125 0.000168
2025-02-02 1.599690e-05 0.000028 0.000044 0.000067 0.000098 0.000137 0.000188
2025-02-09 1.366211e-05 0.000025 0.000042 0.000067 0.000101 0.000145 0.000203
2025-02-16 1.297169e-05 0.000025 0.000044 0.000071 0.000110 0.000160 0.000227
2025-02-23 1.122463e-05 0.000023 0.000042 0.000071 0.000113 0.000167 0.000242
2025-03-02 8.937407e-06 0.000020 0.000039 0.000068 0.000110 0.000167 0.000247
2025-03-09 7.333315e-06 0.000018 0.000036 0.000066 0.000110 0.000170 0.000256
2025-03-16 6.121364e-06 0.000016 0.000034 0.000064 0.000110 0.000174 0.000266
2025-03-23 4.910805e-06 0.000014 0.000032 0.000063 0.000112 0.000181 0.000281
2025-03-30 3.868896e-06 0.000013 0.000030 0.000062 0.000113 0.000187 0.000296
2025-04-06 2.904694e-06 0.000011 0.000028 0.000060 0.000113 0.000191 0.000308
2025-04-13 2.080871e-06 0.000009 0.000025 0.000057 0.000111 0.000192 0.000316
2025-04-20 1.529617e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000055 0.000111 0.000196 0.000327
2025-04-27 1.332907e-06 0.000008 0.000024 0.000057 0.000117 0.000209 0.000352
2025-05-04 1.046419e-06 0.000007 0.000023 0.000057 0.000120 0.000217 0.000370
2025-05-11 1.001022e-06 0.000007 0.000024 0.000061 0.000129 0.000235 0.000403
2025-05-18 7.832697e-07 0.000006 0.000023 0.000061 0.000131 0.000243 0.000421
2025-05-25 5.038032e-07 0.000005 0.000021 0.000058 0.000128 0.000242 0.000426
2025-06-01 3.356120e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000056 0.000127 0.000245 0.000436